Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.96
No49%
ours 2.04
All matches
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Barry Town United — Trefelin, Welsh Premier League
Wales, Welsh Premier League
Barry Town United
2.4WLLDW
Trefelin
1.5LLDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
71%19%
Barry Town United71%Draw19%Trefelin9%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Barry Town United1.40—
XDraw5.21—
2Trefelin10.55—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBarry Town UnitedTrefelinCombined
Goals scored1.000.331.33
Conceded1.831.833.66
Corners9.89.59.6
Cards1.51.32.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Barry Town UnitedTrefelin
Barry Town United FC 71%, Trefelin 9%. The safest is “Barry Town United FC or draw” at 87%.
Barry Town United FC 71%Draw 19%Trefelin 9%
1st half
53 · 34 · 13
2nd half
39 · 39 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Home
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Barry Town United
- awayCaernarfon Town1:0
- homeConnah's Quay1:4
- awayColwyn Bay2:5
- homeAmmanford2:2
- homeLlandudno4:1
Trefelin
- awayAirbus UK0:3
- homeTNS1:3
- awayBriton Ferry Llansawel1:1
- homeCambrian & Clydach Vale0:4
- homePenybont0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Connah's Quay1291228:828
Connah's Quay1291228:8283
Penybont1283122:1027
Penybont1283122:10274Barry Town United1281327:2025
Barry Town United1281327:20255
Caernarfon Town1272335:1423
Caernarfon Town1272335:14236
Colwyn Bay1271421:1522
Colwyn Bay1271421:15227
Cardiff Metropolitan University1263323:1321
Cardiff Metropolitan University1263323:13218
Airbus UK1260621:1718
Airbus UK1260621:17189
Cambrian & Clydach Vale1253421:3218
Cambrian & Clydach Vale1253421:321810
Llandudno1251621:1916
Llandudno1251621:191611
Briton Ferry Llansawel1233611:2012
Briton Ferry Llansawel1233611:201212
Haverfordwest123187:1710
Haverfordwest123187:171013
Flint Town United1222812:248
Flint Town United1222812:24814
Ammanford121389:326
Ammanford121389:32615Trefelin120395:303
Trefelin120395:30316
Holywell Town12021013:382
Holywell Town12021013:382Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.