All matches

Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC — Airbus UK FC, Welsh Premier League

Wales, Welsh Premier League

Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC
1.9WLWWD
—
Airbus UK FC
1.9LWLLW
Outcome probability
422632
Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC42%Draw26%Airbus UK FC32%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC42%2.36—
XDraw26%3.83—
2Airbus UK FC32%3.17—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes64%

ours 1.56

No36%

ours 2.80

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCambrian & Clydach Vale FCAirbus UK FCCombined
Goals scored1.830.832.66
Conceded2.171.333.50
Corners10.58.09.3
Cards1.51.02.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Cambrian & Clydach Vale FCAirbus UK FC
    8Table position10
    46.50%Possession42.30%
    14Days of rest14
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC: a home win is rated at 42%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

    Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

    Start freePlans

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 8.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Form and context

Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

  • homeLlandudno FC4:3
  • awayCaernarfon Town FC1:9
  • awayTrefelin4:0
  • homeHolywell Town FC2:1
  • awayCardiff Metropolitan University FC2:2

Airbus UK FC

  • awayPenybont FC1:2
  • homeFlint Town United FC4:1
  • awayConnah's Quay Nomads FC0:3
  • homeThe New Saints FC0:2
  • awayBriton Ferry Llansawel AFC2:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Barry Town United FC1171326:2022
7Cardiff Metropolitan University FC1153322:1318
8Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC1153321:2318
9Llandudno FC1151521:1816
10Airbus UK FC1150618:1715
11Haverfordwest County AFC113177:1610
12Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC1123610:209

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

PlansSign in

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.