Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.56
All matches
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Flint Town United — Holywell Town, Welsh Premier League
Wales, Welsh Premier League
Flint Town United
1.1WWLLD
Holywell Town
1.4LDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%24%23%
Flint Town United53%Draw24%Holywell Town23%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Flint Town United1.87—
XDraw4.24—
2Holywell Town4.36—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFlint Town UnitedHolywell TownCombined
Goals scored0.830.331.16
Conceded1.501.503.00
Corners12.57.810.1
Cards2.31.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Flint Town UnitedHolywell Town
Flint Town United FC 53%, Holywell Town FC 23%. The safest is “Flint Town United FC or draw” at 77%.
Flint Town United FC 53%Draw 24%Holywell Town FC 23%
1st half
46 · 31 · 23
2nd half
37 · 37 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Flint Town United
- awayHaverfordwest1:0
- homeAmmanford3:0
- awayAirbus UK1:4
- awayTNS0:5
- homeCardiff Metropolitan University1:1
Holywell Town
- awayAmmanford1:2
- homeBriton Ferry Llansawel1:1
- awayHaverfordwest0:1
- homeColwyn Bay0:5
- awayCambrian & Clydach Vale1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Briton Ferry Llansawel1233611:2012
Briton Ferry Llansawel1233611:201212
Haverfordwest123187:1710
Haverfordwest123187:171013Flint Town United1222812:248
Flint Town United1222812:24814
Ammanford121389:326
Ammanford121389:32615
Trefelin120395:303
Trefelin120395:30316Holywell Town12021013:382
Holywell Town12021013:382Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.