All matches

Ammanford — Haverfordwest, Welsh Premier League

Wales, Welsh Premier League

Ammanford
1.5WLLDL
—
Haverfordwest
2.0LLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
27%25%48%
Ammanford27%Draw25%Haverfordwest48%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ammanford27%3.64—
XDraw25%3.99—
2Haverfordwest48%2.11—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.04

No51%

ours 1.96

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAmmanfordHaverfordwestCombined
Goals scored0.830.171.00
Conceded1.830.502.33
Corners7.89.88.8
Cards1.01.52.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AmmanfordHaverfordwest

Ammanford AFC 27%, Haverfordwest County AFC 47%. The safest is “Haverfordwest County AFC or draw” at 75%.

Ammanford AFC 27%Draw 25%Haverfordwest County AFC 47%
1st half
25 · 44 · 31
2nd half
24 · 39 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Ammanford

  • homeHolywell Town2:1
  • awayFlint Town United0:3
  • homePenybont1:5
  • awayBarry Town United2:2
  • homeCaernarfon Town0:5

Haverfordwest

  • homeFlint Town United0:1
  • awayCardiff Metropolitan University0:1
  • awayColwyn Bay0:1
  • homeHolywell Town1:0
  • homeBriton Ferry Llansawel3:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Llandudno1251621:1916
11Briton Ferry Llansawel1233611:2012
12Haverfordwest123187:1710
13Flint Town United1222812:248
14Ammanford121389:326
15Trefelin120395:303
16Holywell Town12021013:382

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.