Wales — Denmark, UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League
WalesППНВВ
DenmarkВПНВП
1Wales35%model2.87
XDraw31%model3.24
2Denmark34%model2.92
Goals
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
calculated at 20:14, 176 мс
Outcome
Corners
Subscribers only
Total 2.5
Subscribers only
Both teams to score
Subscribers only
Model vs bookmaker valuesubscribers
Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.
Model take on Wales vs Denmark
Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.
What drives the numberssubscribers
Form, rest, fixture load and league position
Recent matches
Wales
- awayDenmark0:2
- awayPortugal0:1
- homeBosnia Herzegovina1:1
- homeFYR Macedonia7:1
- awayLiechtenstein1:0
Denmark
- homeWales2:0
- awayNorway2:3
- awayCzech Republic2:2
- homeFYR Macedonia4:0
- awayScotland2:4
Head to head — score from the perspective of Wales
- 09/27/26away · UEFA Nations League0:2L
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| … | |||||||
| 8 |  Slovakia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Armenia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Denmark | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Spain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Norway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Croatia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Luxembourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Malta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 16 |  Greece | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Sweden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Montenegro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 19 |  Northern Ireland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Portugal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Ukraine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 22 |  France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 23 |  Kosovo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Kazakhstan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 25 |  Iceland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Azerbaijan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 27 |  Faroe Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 28 |  Germany | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 29 |  Estonia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 30 |  Scotland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 31 |  Poland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 32 |  Gibraltar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 33 |  Bosnia Herzegovina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 34 |  Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 35 |  Andorra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 36 |  England | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 37 |  Romania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 38 |  Czech Republic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 39 |  Bulgaria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 40 |  Cyprus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 41 |  Georgia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 42 |  Turkey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 43 |  Hungary | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 44 |  Republic of Ireland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 45 |  Serbia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 46 |  Israel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 47 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 48 |  Latvia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 49 |  Moldova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 50 |  Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 51 |  Liechtenstein | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 52 | Wales | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 53 |  FYR Macedonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 54 |  San Marino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:7 | 0 |
Three scenariossubscribers
One pick from each odds range
Markets in detail
Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.