UEFA Nations League

DenmarkНВПНВ
—
WalesНВВПВ
1Denmark51%model1.96bookmaker1.64
XDraw30%model3.34bookmaker4.09
2Wales19%model5.23bookmaker5.66

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:05, 145 мс

Outcome

Denmark51%
Draw30%
Wales19%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Denmark vs Wales

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Denmark: a home win is rated at 51%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Denmark

DWLDW
  • awayCzech Republic2:2
  • homeFYR Macedonia4:0
  • awayScotland2:4
  • homeBelarus2:2
  • homeGreece3:1

Wales

DWWLW
  • homeBosnia Herzegovina1:1
  • homeFYR Macedonia7:1
  • awayLiechtenstein1:0
  • homeBelgium2:4
  • awayKazakhstan1:0

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Дания vs Уэльс: prediction and stats — VARstats