Portugal vs Wales: result 1:0

UEFA Nations League24 September at 18:45 · UTCMatch finished

Final score 1:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Portugal 61%, draw 24%, Wales 16%.

Portugal

2.6LWDWD

1:0HT 1:0

Wales

1.7DWWLW

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished 24 September at 16:18

61%24%16%

PortugalPrice 1.1761%DrawPrice 8.4024%WalesPrice 17.0016%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.15xG0.57

62Possession, %38

23Shots5

5Shots on target1

10Corners2

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

12Fouls10

3Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off. After the final whistle, the model’s Premium picks are open too.

13 of 18

Main predictions landedone model pick in each forecast type

All forecast types: landed 151 of 186void — 1

Open to everyone before the match

Match result Landed
Portugal61%
Total goals Landed
Under 2.551%
Both teams to score Landed
No62%

From Premium — open after the final whistle10 of 15 came true

First half resultDraw 51%✕
Goal in both halvesNo 57%✓
Double chancePortugal or draw 87%✓
Handicap (0)Portugal 83%✓
HandicapPortugal -0.75 51%✓
Home team goalsOver 1.5 54%✕
Away team goalsOver 0.5 51%✕
Total cornersOver 12.5 51%✕
Home cornersOver 7.5 67%✓
Away cornersUnder 3.5 54%✓
Total cardsUnder 4.5 52%✓
Home cardsUnder 2.5 61%✓
Away cardsUnder 2.5 59%✓
Total foulsOver 18.5 52%✓
Total shots on targetOver 7.5 50%✕

Percentages are our pre-match probability. Each Premium forecast type shows one model pick: the most likely outcome, and for totals and handicaps the threshold where the chances are closest to 50/50. Before kick-off only subscribers saw them; after the final whistle they are open to everyone, so anyone can check how they did.