UEFA Nations League

PortugalПВНВН
WalesНВВПВ
1Portugal70%model1.43bookmaker1.24
XDraw20%model5.04bookmaker6.58
2Wales10%model9.90bookmaker14.40
calculated at 21:08, 132 мс

Outcome

Portugal70%
Draw20%
Wales10%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Portugal vs Wales

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Portugal: a home win is rated at 70%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Portugal

LWDWD
  • homeSpain0:1
  • homeCroatia2:1
  • awayColombia0:0
  • homeUzbekistan5:0
  • homeCongo DR1:1

Wales

DWWLW
  • homeBosnia Herzegovina1:1
  • homeFYR Macedonia7:1
  • awayLiechtenstein1:0
  • homeBelgium2:4
  • awayKazakhstan1:0

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

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