UEFA Nations League

DenmarkПНВПН
—
PortugalВПВНВ
1Denmark37%model2.74
XDraw27%model3.75
2Portugal37%model2.72
calculated at 07:47, 134 мс

Outcome

Denmark37%
Draw27%
Portugal37%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Denmark vs Portugal

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Portugal travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 37%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Denmark

LDWLD
  • awayNorway2:3
  • awayCzech Republic2:2
  • homeFYR Macedonia4:0
  • awayScotland2:4
  • homeBelarus2:2

Portugal

WLWDW
  • homeWales1:0
  • homeSpain0:1
  • homeCroatia2:1
  • awayColombia0:0
  • homeUzbekistan5:0

Head to head — score from the perspective of Denmark

  • 03/23/25away · UEFA Nations League2:5L
  • 03/20/25home · UEFA Nations League1:0W

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
4Malta11002:13
5Greece11002:13
6Portugal11001:03
7Kosovo11001:03
8Germany10101:11
9Netherlands10101:11
10Denmark10012:30
11Serbia10011:20
12Andorra10011:20
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.