UEFA Nations League

WalesПНВВП
—
NorwayВПВВП
1Wales51%model1.96
XDraw25%model3.97
2Norway24%model4.18
calculated at 07:47, 206 мс

Outcome

Wales51%
Draw25%
Norway24%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Model take on Wales vs Norway

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Wales look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 51%.

Most likely scorelines:…

The rest of the take is for subscribers

See plansSign in

What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Recent matches

Wales

LDWWL
  • awayPortugal0:1
  • homeBosnia Herzegovina1:1
  • homeFYR Macedonia7:1
  • awayLiechtenstein1:0
  • homeBelgium2:4

Norway

WLWWL
  • homeDenmark3:2
  • homeEngland1:2
  • awayBrazil2:1
  • awayIvory Coast2:1
  • homeFrance1:4

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Austria11003:13
2Lithuania11002:03
3Norway11003:23
4Malta11002:13
5Greece11002:13
6Portugal11001:03
7Kosovo11001:03
8Germany10101:11
9Netherlands10101:11
10Denmark10012:30
11Serbia10011:20
12Andorra10011:20
13Republic of Ireland10010:10
14Wales10010:10
15Israel10011:30
16Liechtenstein10010:20

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.