Norway vs Denmark: result 3:2

UEFA Nations League24 September at 18:45 · UTCMatch finished

Final score 3:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Denmark 44%, Norway 31%, draw 25%.

Norway

2.0LWWLW

3:2HT 2:1

Denmark

2.0DWLDW

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished 24 September at 16:18

31%25%44%

NorwayPrice 1.6431%DrawPrice 4.4025%DenmarkPrice 5.1544%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.74xG1.68

49Possession, %51

13Shots13

7Shots on target7

4Corners7

1Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

14Fouls10

1Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off. After the final whistle, the model’s Premium picks are open too.

11 of 18

Main predictions landedone model pick in each forecast type

All forecast types: landed 127 of 186void — 1

Open to everyone before the match

Match result Missed
Denmark44%
Actual: Norway — we had 31%
Total goals Landed
Over 2.555%
Both teams to score Landed
Yes56%

From Premium — open after the final whistle9 of 15 came true

First half resultDraw 49%✕
Goal in both halvesYes 58%✓
Double chanceNorway or Denmark 76%✓
Handicap (0)Denmark 64%✕
HandicapNorway +0.5 51%✓
Home team goalsUnder 1.5 55%✕
Away team goalsOver 1.5 53%✓
Total cornersOver 10.5 50%✓
Home cornersOver 4.5 57%✕
Away cornersUnder 5.5 53%✕
Total cardsOver 2.5 59%✓
Home cardsUnder 1.5 60%✓
Away cardsOver 1.5 51%✓
Total foulsUnder 18.5 82%✕
Total shots on targetOver 8.5 54%✓

Percentages are our pre-match probability. Each Premium forecast type shows one model pick: the most likely outcome, and for totals and handicaps the threshold where the chances are closest to 50/50. Before kick-off only subscribers saw them; after the final whistle they are open to everyone, so anyone can check how they did.