UEFA Nations League

NorwayПВВПВ
—
DenmarkНВПНВ
1Norway27%model3.71bookmaker1.75
XDraw21%model4.81bookmaker4.14
2Denmark52%model1.91bookmaker4.60

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:05, 261 мс

Outcome

Norway27%
Draw21%
Denmark52%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Norway vs Denmark

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Denmark still look stronger — an away win is rated at 52%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Norway

LWWLW
  • homeEngland1:2
  • awayBrazil2:1
  • awayIvory Coast2:1
  • homeFrance1:4
  • homeSenegal3:2

Denmark

DWLDW
  • awayCzech Republic2:2
  • homeFYR Macedonia4:0
  • awayScotland2:4
  • homeBelarus2:2
  • homeGreece3:1

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Норвегия vs Дания: prediction and stats — VARstats