All matches

Hartberg — Rheindorf Altach, Bundesliga

Austria, Bundesliga

1.9WLWDD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%27%25%
Hartberg48%Draw27%Rheindorf Altach25%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hartberg48%2.10—
XDraw27%3.70—
2Rheindorf Altach25%3.94—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

HartbergRheindorf Altach

TSV Hartberg 48%, SC Rheindorf Altach 25%. The safest is “TSV Hartberg or draw” at 75%.

TSV Hartberg 48%Draw 27%SC Rheindorf Altach 25%
1st half
33 · 44 · 23
2nd half
37 · 36 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Over 18.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHartbergRheindorf AltachCombined
Goals scored2.201.203.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Hartberg
  • Unbeaten at home in 4 matches1:0, 4:3, 3:3, 3:2, 0:2
  • 11 goals in the last 5 matches1:0, 1:3, 4:3, 3:3, 2:2
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Rheindorf Altach
  • Winless away in 7 matches0:3, 0:2, 0:3, 0:1, 0:1
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
  • Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Hartberg

  • homeWolfsberger AC1:0
  • awayRapid Vienna1:3
  • homeAustria Lustenau4:3
  • homeLASK3:3
  • awayWSG Wattens2:2

Rheindorf Altach

  • homeAustria Vienna2:1
  • awaySalzburg0:3
  • homeWolfsberger AC3:0
  • awayAustria Lustenau0:2
  • homeGrazer AK1:2

Head to head

  • 08/22/26Bundesliga2:1
  • 02/14/26Bundesliga0:0
  • 10/25/25Bundesliga2:2
  • 05/04/25Bundesliga2:0
  • 04/19/25Bundesliga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sturm Graz1053218:1218
5Ried1043318:1715
6Hartberg1042416:1914
7WSG Wattens1033413:1512
8Grazer AK102448:2310
9Rheindorf Altach1030710:169
10Austria Lustenau1022612:248
11Austria Vienna1021710:207

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.