Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.45
All matches
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Wolfsberger AC — Sturm Graz, Bundesliga
Austria, Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC
1.7LLLDL
Sturm Graz
2.6LDWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
31%25%44%
Wolfsberger AC31%Draw25%Sturm Graz44%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Wolfsberger AC3.21—
XDraw4.05—
2Sturm Graz2.27—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricWolfsberger ACSturm GrazCombined
Goals scored0.330.000.33
Conceded1.670.502.17
Corners10.311.010.7
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
Wolfsberger Athletik Club 31%, SK Sturm Graz 44%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Wolfsberger Athletik Club 31%Draw 25%SK Sturm Graz 44%
1st half
32 · 39 · 29
2nd half
26 · 37 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Wolfsberger AC
- awayRied1:4
- homeRapid Vienna0:3
- homeLASK1:3
- awayGrazer AK0:0
- awayAustria Lustenau1:2
Sturm Graz
- awaySalzburg0:3
- homeRennes0:0
- homeLASK2:1
- awayRapid Vienna1:3
- homeAustria Lustenau1:1
Head to head
- 03/01/26Bundesliga2:2
- 10/26/25Bundesliga3:1
- 05/24/25Bundesliga1:1
- 03/30/25Bundesliga1:1
- 02/15/25Bundesliga3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Salzburg752018:417
Salzburg752018:4173
LASK751119:716
LASK751119:7164Sturm Graz73228:911
Sturm Graz73228:9115
Ried722311:128
Ried722311:1286
Hartberg722310:138
Hartberg722310:1387
WSG Wattens72239:128
WSG Wattens72239:1288
Austria Lustenau72238:118
Austria Lustenau72238:1189
Grazer AK72236:168
Grazer AK72236:16810
Austria Vienna72147:137
Austria Vienna72147:13711Wolfsberger AC71247:135
Wolfsberger AC71247:13512
Rheindorf Altach71065:123
Rheindorf Altach71065:123Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.