All matches

LASK — WSG Wattens, Bundesliga

Austria, Bundesliga

LASK
2.8DLLWW
—
WSG Wattens
1.4LDWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
68%21%11%
LASK68%Draw21%WSG Wattens11%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1LASK68%1.47—
XDraw21%4.85—
2WSG Wattens11%8.75—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.77

No44%

ours 2.30

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLASKWSG WattensCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners10.012.711.3
Cards0.01.31.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

LASKWSG Wattens

LASK Linz 68%, WSG Swarovski Wattens 11%. The safest is “LASK Linz or draw” at 89%.

LASK Linz 68%Draw 21%WSG Swarovski Wattens 11%
1st half
49 · 34 · 17
2nd half
47 · 36 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Most corners: Home

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

LASK

  • awayHartberg3:3
  • awaySturm Graz1:2
  • awayAEK Athens0:1
  • awayWolfsberger AC3:1
  • homeRheindorf Altach3:0

WSG Wattens

  • awayRapid Vienna0:3
  • homeHartberg2:2
  • awayAustria Vienna1:0
  • awayAustria Lustenau4:0
  • homeSalzburg0:3

Head to head

  • 02/07/26Bundesliga1:0
  • 08/10/25Bundesliga1:3
  • 05/03/25Bundesliga3:1
  • 04/18/25Bundesliga2:0
  • 03/09/25Bundesliga2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Rapid Vienna760121:718
2Salzburg752018:417
3LASK751119:716
4Sturm Graz73228:911
5Ried722311:128
6Hartberg722310:138
7WSG Wattens72239:128
8Austria Lustenau72238:118
9Grazer AK72236:168

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.