Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.95
No49%
ours 2.05
All matches
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SK Rapid Wien — SC Austria Lustenau, Bundesliga
Austria, Bundesliga
SK Rapid Wien
2.5WWLWDSC Austria Lustenau
1.8WLLDWOutcome probability
562420
SK Rapid Wien56%Draw24%SC Austria Lustenau20%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SK Rapid Wien1.77—
XDraw4.21—
2SC Austria Lustenau5.06—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSK Rapid WienSC Austria LustenauCombined
Goals scored1.670.672.34
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners8.514.511.5
Cards2.82.55.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
SK Rapid WienSC Austria Lustenau1Table position855.80%Possession43.50%8Days of rest7.12Matches in 14 days2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour SK Rapid Wien: a home win is rated at 56%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 11.5
71%
Form and context
SK Rapid Wien
- homeWSG Swarovski Wattens3:0
- awayWolfsberger Athletik Club3:0
- awayFC Salzburg1:5
- homeSK Sturm Graz3:1
- homeHeart of Midlothian FC2:2
SC Austria Lustenau
- homeSC Rheindorf Altach2:0
- awayFK Austria Wien1:2
- homeWSG Swarovski Wattens0:4
- awaySK Sturm Graz1:1
- homeWolfsberger Athletik Club2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1SK Rapid Wien760121:718
SK Rapid Wien760121:7182
FC Salzburg752018:417
FC Salzburg752018:4173
LASK Linz751119:716
LASK Linz751119:7164
SK Sturm Graz73228:911
SK Sturm Graz73228:9115
SV Ried722311:128
SV Ried722311:1286
TSV Hartberg722310:138
TSV Hartberg722310:1387
WSG Swarovski Wattens72239:128
WSG Swarovski Wattens72239:1288SC Austria Lustenau72238:118
SC Austria Lustenau72238:1189
Liebherr Grazer AK72236:168
Liebherr Grazer AK72236:16810
FK Austria Wien72147:137
FK Austria Wien72147:137