All matches

Grazer AK — Hartberg, Bundesliga

Austria, Bundesliga

Grazer AK
1.4DWDLL
—
Hartberg
1.9DDWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%26%30%
Grazer AK44%Draw26%Hartberg30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Grazer AK44%2.27—
XDraw26%3.86—
2Hartberg30%3.33—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.74

No42%

ours 2.36

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGrazer AKHartbergCombined
Goals scored0.671.332.00
Conceded0.501.171.67
Corners9.712.010.8
Cards3.01.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Grazer AKHartberg

Liebherr Grazer AK 44%, TSV Hartberg 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Liebherr Grazer AK 44%Draw 26%TSV Hartberg 30%
1st half
33 · 40 · 27
2nd half
38 · 38 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Grazer AK

  • homeAustria Vienna2:2
  • awayRheindorf Altach2:1
  • homeWolfsberger AC0:0
  • awayRied0:1
  • awayRapid Vienna0:8

Hartberg

  • homeLASK3:3
  • awayWSG Wattens2:2
  • homeRied3:2
  • awayRheindorf Altach2:1
  • homeAustria Vienna0:2

Head to head

  • 02/21/26Bundesliga0:1
  • 10/18/25Bundesliga0:0
  • 04/25/25Bundesliga1:1
  • 04/22/25Bundesliga0:3
  • 12/08/24Bundesliga0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sturm Graz73228:911
5Ried722311:128
6Hartberg722310:138
7WSG Wattens72239:128
8Austria Lustenau72238:118
9Grazer AK72236:168
10Austria Vienna72147:137
11Wolfsberger AC71247:135

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.