Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.59
No37%
ours 2.71
All matches
Austria Lustenau — Grazer AK, Bundesliga
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%26%34%
Austria Lustenau39%Draw26%Grazer AK34%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Austria Lustenau2.54—
XDraw3.81—
2Grazer AK2.91—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
This market opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
This market opens with Premium.
Goals and corners — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Austria LustenauGrazer AK
SC Austria Lustenau 39%, Liebherr Grazer AK 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
SC Austria Lustenau 39%Draw 26%Liebherr Grazer AK 34%
1st half
38 · 36 · 26
2nd half
26 · 34 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 25.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAustria LustenauGrazer AKCombined
Goals scored1.401.202.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Austria Lustenau- 3 defeats in a row1:5, 0:4, 3:4, 2:0, 1:2
- Most corners in the league in their matches — 12.8 per match12 teams in the league
- Relegation zone: 10th of 12
Grazer AK- Most yellow cards in the league — 2.5 per match12 teams in the league
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
- 4 draws in 10 matches — most in the league8th place, 10 points
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Austria Lustenau
- awayRapid Vienna1:5
- homeLASK0:4
- awayHartberg3:4
- homeRheindorf Altach2:0
- awayAustria Vienna1:2
Grazer AK
- awayWSG Wattens1:1
- awaySturm Graz1:6
- homeSalzburg0:0
- homeAustria Vienna2:2
- awayRheindorf Altach2:1
Head to head
- 08/08/26Bundesliga1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Austria, Bundesliga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.