All matches

Rosenborg — IK Start, Eliteserien: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Norway, Eliteserien

2.6WWWDW
  
1.4WLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
73%16%12%
RosenborgPrice 1.3573%DrawPrice 5.6916%IK StartPrice 7.5512%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Rosenborg73%73%1.371.35+0.2
XDraw16%16%6.395.69-0.1
2IK Start12%12%8.647.55-0.1

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.64

No39%

ours 2.57

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This prediction opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

RosenborgIK Start

Rosenborg BK 73%, IK Start 12%. The safest is “Rosenborg BK or draw” at 88%.

Rosenborg BK 73%Draw 16%IK Start 12%
1st half
51 · 31 · 18
2nd half
61 · 26 · 13

Prices: 1.35 · 5.69 · 7.55

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRosenborgIK StartCombined
Goals scored2.601.203.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Rosenborg
  • Unbeaten at home in 7 matches1:1, 5:3, 4:0, 2:1, 4:0
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 53:0, 3:0, 3:0, 1:1, 3:1
  • 13 goals in the last 5 matches3:0, 3:0, 3:0, 1:1, 3:1
IK Start
  • Relegation zone: 16th of 16

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Rosenborg

  • awayFredrikstad3:0
  • awayHamKam3:0
  • awaySarpsborg 083:0
  • homeSandefjord1:1
  • awayKristiansund3:1

IK Start

  • homeSandefjord1:0
  • awayMolde1:6
  • homeHamKam2:4
  • awaySandefjord0:3
  • homeBrann2:0

Head to head

  • 07/18/26Eliteserien3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Bodo/Glimt24182458:2156
3Molde24134757:3643
4Rosenborg25134849:3143
5Tromso24117643:3440
6Lillestrom24123935:3339
7Sarpsborg 082487930:3531
8KFUM24861030:3930
9Brann24921342:4029
10Vålerenga Fotball24851139:4629
11Fredrikstad25851229:4429
12Sandefjord24761124:3127
13HamKam24751233:5126
14Aalesunds FK25591143:5724
15Kristiansund24551425:4920
16IK Start24541526:5419

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.