Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63
No39%
ours 2.58
All matches
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Vålerenga Fotball — Tromso, Eliteserien
Norway, Eliteserien
Vålerenga Fotball
1.7DLDLD
Tromso
2.4WLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%23%40%
Vålerenga Fotball36%Draw23%Tromso40%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vålerenga Fotball2.75—
XDraw4.28—
2Tromso2.48—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVålerenga FotballTromsoCombined
Goals scored0.501.001.50
Conceded0.831.502.33
Corners14.09.011.5
Cards1.72.03.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Vålerenga FotballTromso
Vålerenga Fotball 36%, Tromsø IL 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Vålerenga Fotball 36%Draw 23%Tromsø IL 40%
1st half
36 · 36 · 28
2nd half
32 · 37 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Vålerenga Fotball
- homeFredrikstad1:1
- awayLillestrom0:2
- awaySarpsborg 082:2
- homeMolde3:4
- awayAalesunds5:5
Tromso
- homeHamKam3:2
- awayRosenborg3:5
- awayKristiansund0:2
- homeSarpsborg 080:0
- awayBrighton0:4
Head to head
- 07/11/26Eliteserien0:4
- 10/04/25Eliteserien1:0
- 05/31/25Eliteserien1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Viking21162354:2050
Viking21162354:20502
Bodo/Glimt20152350:1747
Bodo/Glimt20152350:17473Tromso21115540:2938
Tromso21115540:29384
Molde21113744:3236
Molde21113744:32365
Rosenborg21103839:3033
Rosenborg21103839:30336
Lillestrom21102928:2932
Lillestrom21102928:29327
Brann21921039:3229
Brann21921039:32298
Fredrikstad2184925:3228
Fredrikstad2184925:32289
Sarpsborg 082167824:2925
Sarpsborg 082167824:292510
KFUM21741025:3525
KFUM21741025:352511
Sandefjord2065919:2423
Sandefjord2065919:242312Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:432313
HamKam21651029:4423
HamKam21651029:442314
Aalesunds2149833:4621
Aalesunds2149833:4621Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.