Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.57
No36%
ours 2.76
All matches
Aalesunds FK — Sandefjord, Eliteserien
Norway, Eliteserien
Aalesunds FK
1.7WLWLW
Sandefjord
1.8LDWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%23%35%
Aalesunds FKMarket 1.9942%DrawMarket 3.9823%SandefjordMarket 3.4235%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aalesunds FK2.411.99-6.5
XDraw4.313.98-0.8
2Sandefjord2.843.42+7.3
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2904 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2896 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2886 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Aalesunds FKSandefjord
Aalesunds FK 42%, Sandefjord Fotball 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Aalesunds FK 42%Draw 23%Sandefjord Fotball 35%
1st half
44 · 33 · 23
2nd half
26 · 33 · 40
Bookmakers: 1.99 · 3.98 · 3.42
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 9.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAalesunds FKSandefjordCombined
Goals scored2.201.003.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Aalesunds FK- Relegation zone: 14th of 16
- 11 goals in the last 5 matches4:1, 2:4, 2:1, 1:2, 2:0
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
Sandefjord- Worst attack in the league — 20 goals in 22 matches13th place, 24 points
- Never led at half-time in the last 10 matches
- One win in the last 5 matches0:2, 1:1, 3:0, 1:1, 0:0
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Aalesunds FK
- awayKristiansund4:1
- homeSarpsborg 082:4
- awayMolde2:1
- awayKFUM1:2
- homeIK Start2:0
Sandefjord
- homeLillestrom0:2
- awayRosenborg1:1
- homeIK Start3:0
- homeViking1:1
- homeBrann0:0
Head to head
- 05/03/26Eliteserien0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Sarpsborg 082377928:3428
Sarpsborg 082377928:342812
HamKam24751233:5126
HamKam24751233:512613
Sandefjord22661020:2724
Sandefjord22661020:272414
Aalesunds FK2359939:5124
Aalesunds FK2359939:512415
Kristiansund23541423:4719
Kristiansund23541423:471916
IK Start23441525:5416
IK Start23441525:5416Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.