Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.44
All matches
—
Sarpsborg 08 — Kristiansund, Eliteserien
Norway, Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08
1.9LDDDL
Kristiansund
1.4LLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
57%22%20%
Sarpsborg 0857%Draw22%Kristiansund20%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sarpsborg 081.74—
XDraw4.47—
2Kristiansund4.96—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSarpsborg 08KristiansundCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded1.001.832.83
Corners12.011.011.5
Cards0.71.01.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sarpsborg 08Kristiansund
Sarpsborg 08 FF 57%, Kristiansund BK 20%. The safest is “Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw” at 80%.
Sarpsborg 08 FF 57%Draw 22%Kristiansund BK 20%
1st half
48 · 33 · 19
2nd half
37 · 38 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most corners: Home
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sarpsborg 08
- homeKFUM1:3
- awayFredrikstad1:1
- homeVålerenga Fotball2:2
- awayTromso0:0
- homeSandefjord1:2
Kristiansund
- homeRosenborg1:3
- awayViking1:8
- homeTromso2:0
- awayHamKam2:2
- awayFredrikstad0:1
Head to head
- 07/18/26Eliteserien0:0
- 08/25/25Eliteserien0:1
- 07/13/25Eliteserien0:0
- 09/15/24Eliteserien0:2
- 06/02/24Eliteserien1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Brann21921039:3229
Brann21921039:32298
Fredrikstad2184925:3228
Fredrikstad2184925:32289Sarpsborg 082167824:2925
Sarpsborg 082167824:292510
KFUM21741025:3525
KFUM21741025:352511
Sandefjord2065919:2423
Sandefjord2065919:242312
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:432313
HamKam21651029:4423
HamKam21651029:442314
Aalesunds2149833:4621
Aalesunds2149833:462115Kristiansund21541221:4019
Kristiansund21541221:401916
IK Start21441322:4416
IK Start21441322:4416Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.