All matches

KFUM — HamKam, Eliteserien

Norway, Eliteserien

KFUM
1.5WWLLD
—
HamKam
1.5LLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%24%26%
KFUM50%Draw24%HamKam26%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KFUM50%1.99—
XDraw24%4.15—
2HamKam26%3.91—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.80

No45%

ours 2.24

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKFUMHamKamCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.672.002.67
Corners11.08.39.7
Cards1.31.02.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KFUMHamKam

KFUM Fotball 50%, Hamarkameratene Fotball 26%. The safest is “KFUM Fotball or draw” at 76%.

KFUM Fotball 50%Draw 24%Hamarkameratene Fotball 26%
1st half
41 · 37 · 22
2nd half
36 · 40 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

KFUM

  • awaySarpsborg 083:1
  • homeAalesunds2:1
  • awayMolde0:2
  • awayIK Start1:4
  • homeLillestrom1:1

HamKam

  • awayTromso2:3
  • homeMolde1:5
  • awayRosenborg0:4
  • homeKristiansund2:2
  • awayBrann0:3

Head to head

  • 04/19/26Eliteserien0:4
  • 08/22/25Eliteserien2:2
  • 05/02/25Eliteserien0:0
  • 12/01/24Eliteserien2:0
  • 04/02/24Eliteserien1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Fredrikstad2184925:3228
9Sarpsborg 082167824:2925
10KFUM21741025:3525
11Sandefjord2065919:2423
12Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
13HamKam21651029:4423
14Aalesunds2149833:4621
15Kristiansund21541221:4019

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.