Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.60
No38%
ours 2.66
All matches
—
Brann — Molde, Eliteserien
Norway, Eliteserien
Brann
2.6WLLDW
Molde
2.3LWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%23%31%
Brann46%Draw23%Molde31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Brann2.18—
XDraw4.27—
2Molde3.25—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBrannMoldeCombined
Goals scored0.331.331.66
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners9.011.710.3
Cards2.01.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BrannMolde
SK Brann 46%, Molde FK 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
SK Brann 46%Draw 23%Molde FK 31%
1st half
38 · 33 · 29
2nd half
34 · 38 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Brann
- homeBodo/Glimt2:1
- awayIK Start0:2
- homeLillestrom1:2
- awaySandefjord0:0
- homePAOK3:2
Molde
- homeAalesunds1:2
- awayHamKam5:1
- homeKFUM2:0
- awayVålerenga Fotball4:3
- homeTromso3:2
Head to head
- 07/18/26Eliteserien2:1
- 11/22/25Eliteserien0:4
- 05/29/25Eliteserien0:3
- 11/23/24Eliteserien1:2
- 05/26/24Eliteserien1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Bodo/Glimt20152350:1747
Bodo/Glimt20152350:17473
Tromso21115540:2938
Tromso21115540:29384Molde21113744:3236
Molde21113744:32365
Rosenborg21103839:3033
Rosenborg21103839:30336
Lillestrom21102928:2932
Lillestrom21102928:29327Brann21921039:3229
Brann21921039:32298
Fredrikstad2184925:3228
Fredrikstad2184925:32289
Sarpsborg 082167824:2925
Sarpsborg 082167824:2925Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.