Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.42
All matches
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IK Start — Lillestrom, Eliteserien
Norway, Eliteserien
IK Start
1.5LWLWL
Lillestrom
1.5LLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%24%30%
IK Start46%Draw24%Lillestrom30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1IK Start2.19—
XDraw4.16—
2Lillestrom3.31—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricIK StartLillestromCombined
Goals scored0.330.000.33
Conceded0.830.501.33
Corners12.713.012.8
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
IK StartLillestrom
IK Start 46%, Lillestrøm SK 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
IK Start 46%Draw 24%Lillestrøm SK 30%
1st half
43 · 35 · 23
2nd half
31 · 39 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
IK Start
- awaySandefjord0:3
- homeBrann2:0
- awayAalesunds0:2
- homeKFUM4:1
- homeFredrikstad0:1
Lillestrom
- awayViking0:3
- homeTorreense1:2
- homeVålerenga Fotball2:0
- awayBrann2:1
- homeFredrikstad1:4
Head to head
- 04/11/26Eliteserien1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Molde21113744:3236
Molde21113744:32365
Rosenborg21103839:3033
Rosenborg21103839:30336Lillestrom21102928:2932
Lillestrom21102928:29327
Brann21921039:3229
Brann21921039:32298
Fredrikstad2184925:3228
Fredrikstad2184925:32289
Sarpsborg 082167824:2925
Sarpsborg 082167824:292510
KFUM21741025:3525
KFUM21741025:352511
Sandefjord2065919:2423
Sandefjord2065919:242312
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:432313
HamKam21651029:4423
HamKam21651029:442314
Aalesunds2149833:4621
Aalesunds2149833:462115
Kristiansund21541221:4019
Kristiansund21541221:401916IK Start21441322:4416
IK Start21441322:4416Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.