Qarabag 1:0 Safa, Premier League: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Total goals MissedOver 2.571%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 29%
- Both teams to score LandedNo76%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Qarabag
- awayQabala0:0
- awaySabah0:0
- homeNeftchi Baku3:3
- awayMil Mugan2:0
- homeSafa1:0
Safa
- homeKapaz1:2
- awayShamakhi2:3
- homeTuran-T0:1
- awayQarabag0:1
- homeSabah0:3
Head to head
- 09/18/26Premier League1:0
More matches in this competition
Azerbaijan, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


