All matches

Nea Salamis Famagusta — Omonia Aradippou, First Division

Cyprus, First Division

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
36%27%37%
Nea Salamis Famagusta36%Draw27%Omonia Aradippou37%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Nea Salamis Famagusta36%2.75—
XDraw27%3.74—
2Omonia Aradippou37%2.71—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.69

No41%

ours 2.45

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Nea Salamis FamagustaOmonia Aradippou

Nea Salamis Famagusta 36%, Omonia FC Aradippou 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Nea Salamis Famagusta 36%Draw 27%Omonia FC Aradippou 37%
1st half
35 · 36 · 29
2nd half
30 · 33 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Under 4.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricNea Salamis FamagustaOmonia AradippouCombined
Goals scored1.400.401.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Nea Salamis Famagusta
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 7.0 per match14 teams in the league
  • Relegation zone: 13th of 14
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:0, 2:4, 1:2, 3:0, 1:2
Omonia Aradippou
  • Winless away in 4 matches0:2, 0:1, 1:1, 0:0, 2:1
  • 3 defeats in a row0:2, 0:2, 0:1, 1:1, 1:1
  • Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches0:2, 0:2, 0:1, 1:1, 1:1

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Nea Salamis Famagusta

  • homePaphos0:0
  • awayApollon Limassol2:4
  • awayAPOEL1:2
  • homeAnorthosis Famagusta3:0
  • awayAEL Limassol1:2

Omonia Aradippou

  • awayAnorthosis Famagusta0:2
  • homeAEL Limassol0:2
  • awayAEK Larnaca0:1
  • homeOlympiakos Nicosia1:1
  • awayKarmiotissa1:1

Head to head

  • 04/07/25First Division2:0
  • 03/01/25First Division2:3
  • 12/01/24First Division0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Omonia 29 Maiou722312:138
12Karmiotissa81345:166
14Krasava Ypsonas71156:154

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.