All matches

Aris Limassol — Anorthosis Famagusta, First Division

Cyprus, First Division

Aris Limassol
2.5DWLDL
—
Anorthosis Famagusta
2.0LWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
59%23%18%
Aris Limassol59%Draw23%Anorthosis Famagusta18%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aris Limassol59%1.69—
XDraw23%4.34—
2Anorthosis Famagusta18%5.65—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.23

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAris LimassolAnorthosis FamagustaCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded0.671.171.84
Corners7.78.38.0
Cards3.32.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Aris LimassolAnorthosis Famagusta

Aris FC Limassol 59%, Anorthosis Famagusta FC 18%. The safest is “Aris FC Limassol or draw” at 84%.

Aris FC Limassol 59%Draw 23%Anorthosis Famagusta FC 18%
1st half
45 · 34 · 21
2nd half
44 · 36 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Aris Limassol

  • homeKarmiotissa0:0
  • awayDigenis Ypsonas1:0
  • homeOmonia1:4
  • homeApollon Limassol2:2
  • homeAEK Larnaca3:4

Anorthosis Famagusta

  • awayNea Salamis Famagusta0:3
  • homeAPOEL2:1
  • awayApollon Limassol1:3
  • awayAEL Limassol0:2
  • awayOlympiakos Nicosia0:1

Head to head

  • 02/09/26First Division0:1
  • 10/26/25First Division1:1
  • 02/15/25First Division3:0
  • 11/09/24First Division3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Omonia Aradippou41304:36
7Omonia 29 Maiou41219:75
8Aris Limassol41214:65
9APOEL411210:74
10Olympiakos Nicosia40407:74
11Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
12Karmiotissa40313:63
13Anorthosis Famagusta41033:93
14Digenis Ypsonas40042:100

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.