Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
Krasava Ypsonas — AEK Larnaca, First Division
Cyprus, First Division
Krasava Ypsonas
1.5DWLLL
AEK Larnaca
3.0DWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
10%18%71%
Krasava Ypsonas10%Draw18%AEK Larnaca71%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Krasava Ypsonas9.75—
XDraw5.42—
2AEK Larnaca1.40—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3273 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3263 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3246 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Krasava YpsonasAEK Larnaca
Krasava ENY Ypsonas 10%, AEK Larnaca 71%. The safest is “AEK Larnaca or draw” at 88%.
Krasava ENY Ypsonas 10%Draw 18%AEK Larnaca 71%
1st half
20 · 34 · 46
2nd half
16 · 31 · 53
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Under 26.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKrasava YpsonasAEK LarnacaCombined
Goals scored1.001.602.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Krasava Ypsonas- Fewest shots on target in the league — 3.0 per match14 teams in the league
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
- Relegation zone: 13th of 14
AEK Larnaca- Unbeaten away in 6 matches1:1, 2:1, 4:1, 3:2, 4:3
- 3rd in the table — 13 points from 6 matches
- 13th of 14 for yellow cards — 1.5 per match14 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Krasava Ypsonas
- awayOlympiakos Nicosia1:1
- homeKarmiotissa2:1
- homeApollon Limassol1:3
- awayOmonia1:4
- homeAris Limassol0:1
AEK Larnaca
- awayAris Limassol1:1
- homeOmonia Aradippou1:0
- awayOmonia 29 Maiou2:1
- homePaphos0:1
- awayNea Salamis Famagusta4:1
Head to head
- 01/18/26First Division1:2
- 09/27/25First Division0:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Apollon Limassol743019:815
Apollon Limassol743019:8152
AEL Limassol650110:815
AEL Limassol650110:8153
AEK Larnaca641111:513
AEK Larnaca641111:5134
Omonia633013:412
Omonia633013:4125
APOEL732216:911
APOEL732216:9116
Paphos63217:311
Paphos63217:3117
Aris Limassol62317:89
Aris Limassol62317:898
Omonia 29 Maiou722312:138
Omonia 29 Maiou722312:1389
Olympiakos Nicosia706111:126
Olympiakos Nicosia706111:12610
Omonia Aradippou71334:86
Omonia Aradippou71334:8611
Anorthosis Famagusta72056:136
Anorthosis Famagusta72056:13612
Nea Salamis Famagusta611411:154
Nea Salamis Famagusta611411:15413
Krasava Ypsonas71156:154
Krasava Ypsonas71156:15414
Karmiotissa70344:163
Karmiotissa70344:163Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.