Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.18
All matches
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Karmiotissa — Olympiakos Nicosia, First Division
Cyprus, First Division
Karmiotissa
1.4DDDLL
Olympiakos Nicosia
1.8DDDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
34%25%41%
Karmiotissa34%Draw25%Olympiakos Nicosia41%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Karmiotissa2.94—
XDraw3.97—
2Olympiakos Nicosia2.45—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKarmiotissaOlympiakos NicosiaCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners6.312.79.5
Cards2.71.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KarmiotissaOlympiakos Nicosia
Karmiotissa Pano Polemidia 34%, Olympiakos Nicosia FC 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Karmiotissa Pano Polemidia 34%Draw 25%Olympiakos Nicosia FC 41%
1st half
36 · 37 · 27
2nd half
27 · 39 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Karmiotissa
- awayAris Limassol0:0
- homeOmonia Aradippou1:1
- awayOmonia 29 Maiou2:2
- homePaphos0:3
- awayAEL Limassol0:1
Olympiakos Nicosia
- awayOmonia Aradippou1:1
- homeOmonia 29 Maiou3:3
- awayPaphos0:0
- homeNea Salamis Famagusta3:3
- homeAnorthosis Famagusta1:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Aris Limassol41214:65
Aris Limassol41214:659
APOEL411210:74
APOEL411210:7410Olympiakos Nicosia40407:74
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:7411
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:9412Karmiotissa40313:63
Karmiotissa40313:6313
Anorthosis Famagusta41033:93
Anorthosis Famagusta41033:9314
Digenis Ypsonas40042:100
Digenis Ypsonas40042:100Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.