All matches

Omonia 29 Maiou — Nea Salamis Famagusta, First Division

Cyprus, First Division

Omonia 29 Maiou
0.8LDDWL
—
Nea Salamis Famagusta
1.2WLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%24%38%
Omonia 29 Maiou38%Draw24%Nea Salamis Famagusta38%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Omonia 29 Maiou38%2.66—
XDraw24%4.13—
2Nea Salamis Famagusta38%2.62—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.60

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricOmonia 29 MaiouNea Salamis FamagustaCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners8.06.77.3
Cards3.72.76.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Omonia 29 MaiouNea Salamis Famagusta

ALS Omonia 29is Maiou 38%, Nea Salamis Famagusta 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

ALS Omonia 29is Maiou 38%Draw 24%Nea Salamis Famagusta 38%
1st half
35 · 34 · 32
2nd half
34 · 36 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Omonia 29 Maiou

  • homeAEK Larnaca1:2
  • awayOlympiakos Nicosia3:3
  • homeKarmiotissa2:2
  • awayDigenis Ypsonas3:0
  • awayOmonia Aradippou1:4

Nea Salamis Famagusta

  • homeAnorthosis Famagusta3:0
  • awayAEL Limassol1:2
  • homeAEK Larnaca1:4
  • awayOlympiakos Nicosia3:3
  • homeAnorthosis Famagusta2:4

Head to head

  • 05/05/25First Division0:1
  • 02/22/25First Division2:1
  • 11/23/24First Division1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Apollon Limassol41307:56
6Omonia Aradippou41304:36
7Omonia 29 Maiou41219:75
8Aris Limassol41214:65
9APOEL411210:74
10Olympiakos Nicosia40407:74
11Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
12Karmiotissa40313:63
13Anorthosis Famagusta41033:93

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.