Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
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Teuta Durres — Elbasani, Superliga
Albania, Superliga
Teuta Durres
1.9WWWWD
Elbasani
2.3DWLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%28%21%
Teuta Durres51%Draw28%Elbasani21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Teuta Durres1.96—
XDraw3.62—
2Elbasani4.67—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTeuta DurresElbasaniCombined
Goals scored1.671.002.67
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners9.57.88.6
Cards1.50.52.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Teuta DurresElbasani
KS Teuta Durrës 51%, AF Elbasani 21%. The safest is “KS Teuta Durrës or draw” at 82%.
KS Teuta Durrës 51%Draw 28%AF Elbasani 21%
1st half
43 · 39 · 19
2nd half
39 · 39 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 9.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Teuta Durres
- awayVllaznia2:0
- homeVora2:0
- awayLaci3:1
- homeTirana3:1
- awayPartizani0:0
Elbasani
- awayTirana2:2
- homeEgnatia2:1
- awayDinamo Tirana1:2
- homeVllaznia1:1
- awayLaci1:1
Head to head
- 04/18/26Superliga1:2
- 02/06/26Superliga1:2
- 12/03/25Superliga0:0
- 09/27/25Superliga0:0
- 03/11/25Superliga0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Teuta Durres541010:213
Teuta Durres541010:2132
Egnatia540111:512
Egnatia540111:5123
Dinamo Tirana540110:512
Dinamo Tirana540110:5124
Laci52127:87
Laci52127:875Elbasani51317:76
Elbasani51317:766
Tirana51228:95
Tirana51228:957
Partizani51137:104
Partizani51137:104Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.