Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
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Skenderbeu Korce — Elbasani, Superliga
Albania, Superliga
Skenderbeu Korce
1.5DDLLD
Elbasani
2.3DWLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%28%28%
Skenderbeu Korce44%Draw28%Elbasani28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Skenderbeu Korce2.26—
XDraw3.57—
2Elbasani3.60—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSkenderbeu KorceElbasaniCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners7.07.07.0
Cards1.20.41.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Skenderbeu KorceElbasani
KS Skënderbeu Korçë 44%, AF Elbasani 28%. The safest is “KS Skënderbeu Korçë or draw” at 74%.
KS Skënderbeu Korçë 44%Draw 28%AF Elbasani 28%
1st half
37 · 40 · 23
2nd half
35 · 38 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Skenderbeu Korce
- awayVora1:1
- homeTirana1:1
- awayEgnatia1:2
- homeDinamo Tirana0:1
- awayVllaznia2:2
Elbasani
- awayTirana2:2
- homeEgnatia2:1
- awayDinamo Tirana1:2
- homeVllaznia1:1
- awayLaci1:1
Head to head
- 03/06/25Superliga0:0
- 12/20/24Superliga0:2
- 10/26/24Superliga1:1
- 08/19/24Superliga1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Dinamo Tirana540110:512
Dinamo Tirana540110:5124
Laci52127:87
Laci52127:875Elbasani51317:76
Elbasani51317:766
Tirana51228:95
Tirana51228:957
Partizani51137:104
Partizani51137:1048
Vora51133:104
Vora51133:1049Skenderbeu Korce50325:73
Skenderbeu Korce50325:7310
Vllaznia50235:102
Vllaznia50235:102Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.