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Tirana 2:2 Elbasani, Superliga: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Albania, SuperligaMatch finished

1.9LDLWW
2:2HT 1:2
2.0WWDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
37%30%34%
TiranaPrice 2.3837%DrawPrice 3.0630%ElbasaniPrice 2.6734%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.72xG1.05
52Possession, %48
12Shots6
7Shots on target3
5Corners6
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
7Fouls9
2Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 77 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Tirana37%

    Actual: Draw — we had 30%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.553%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 47%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes54%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Tirana37%38%2.732.38-1.3
XDraw30%29%3.363.06+1.1
2Elbasani34%33%2.982.67+0.2

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Tirana

  • homeEgnatia1:2
  • homeDinamo Tirana1:1
  • awayVllaznia0:2
  • homeLaci1:0
  • awayPartizani3:1

Elbasani

  • homeLaci2:1
  • homePartizani2:1
  • awayTeuta Durres0:0
  • awaySkenderbeu Korce1:2
  • homeVora1:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Superliga2:2
  • 05/10/26Superliga3:1
  • 03/08/26Superliga0:1
  • 12/24/25Superliga1:1
  • 10/29/25Superliga1:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Teuta Durres962114:320
3Dinamo Tirana951313:1016
4Elbasani1035213:1214
5Tirana1033414:1512
6Skenderbeu Korce1025311:1211
7Laci1032510:1411

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.