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Skenderbeu Korce vs Vora prediction

Albania, Superliga · UTC

VARStats prediction for 2 December: Skenderbeu Korce 45%, draw 30%, Vora 25%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
1.8DWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%30%25%
Skenderbeu Korce45%Draw30%Vora25%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Skenderbeu Korce45%2.24—
XDraw30%3.30—
2Vora25%3.97—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

Fair price 1.88

No47%

Fair price 2.14

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4542 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4527 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4514 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Most likely score

The three most likely scores according to the model. A probability, not a guarantee.

  1. 1:1Skenderbeu Korce — Vora · 14 %
  2. 1:0Skenderbeu Korce — Vora · 11 %
  3. 0:0Skenderbeu Korce — Vora · 10 %

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Skenderbeu KorceVora

KS Skënderbeu Korçë 45%, FK Vora 25%. The safest is “KS Skënderbeu Korçë or draw” at 77%.

KS Skënderbeu Korçë 45%Draw 30%FK Vora 25%
1st half
32 · 45 · 24
2nd half
42 · 34 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots on target: Under 10.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSkenderbeu KorceVoraCombined
Goals scored1.201.803.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Skenderbeu Korce
  • Unbeaten at home in 4 matches1:1, 1:1, 2:1, 1:1, 0:1
  • 5 draws in 10 matches — most in the league7th place, 11 points
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Vora
  • Winless away in 4 matches0:1, 1:1, 0:2, 0:4, 1:0
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 52:2, 2:1, 0:1, 4:1, 1:1

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Skenderbeu Korce

Vora

Head to head

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Elbasani1035213:1214
5Tirana1033414:1512
6Vora1033412:1612
7Skenderbeu Korce1025311:1211
8Laci1032510:1411
9Vllaznia1023511:169

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.