All matches

Dinamo Tirana — Teuta Durres, Superliga

Albania, Superliga

Dinamo Tirana
2.3WWWWL
—
Teuta Durres
1.9WWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%29%27%
Dinamo Tirana43%Draw29%Teuta Durres27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dinamo Tirana43%2.30—
XDraw29%3.43—
2Teuta Durres27%3.65—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.93

No48%

ours 2.07

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDinamo TiranaTeuta DurresCombined
Goals scored2.001.673.67
Conceded1.330.331.66
Corners9.28.89.0
Cards2.41.23.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Dinamo TiranaTeuta Durres

KS Dinamo Tirana 43%, KS Teuta Durrës 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.

KS Dinamo Tirana 43%Draw 29%KS Teuta Durrës 27%
1st half
33 · 40 · 27
2nd half
31 · 43 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Dinamo Tirana

  • homeLaci3:1
  • awayPartizani4:2
  • homeElbasani2:1
  • awaySkenderbeu Korce1:0
  • awayPaphos2:4

Teuta Durres

  • awayVllaznia2:0
  • homeVora2:0
  • awayLaci3:1
  • homeTirana3:1
  • awayPartizani0:0

Head to head

  • 03/15/26Superliga0:1
  • 01/15/26Superliga0:0
  • 11/03/25Superliga0:0
  • 09/17/25Superliga0:1
  • 04/06/25Superliga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Teuta Durres541010:213
2Egnatia540111:512
3Dinamo Tirana540110:512
4Laci52127:87
5Elbasani51317:76

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.