All matches

Teuta Durres — Skenderbeu Korce, Superliga

Albania, Superliga

Teuta Durres
1.9WWWWD
—
Skenderbeu Korce
1.5DDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%28%21%
Teuta Durres50%Draw28%Skenderbeu Korce21%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Teuta Durres50%1.98—
XDraw28%3.53—
2Skenderbeu Korce21%4.71—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.96

No49%

ours 2.04

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTeuta DurresSkenderbeu KorceCombined
Goals scored2.171.003.17
Conceded0.671.502.17
Corners9.07.08.0
Cards1.01.22.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Teuta DurresSkenderbeu Korce

KS Teuta Durrës 50%, KS Skënderbeu Korçë 21%. The safest is “KS Teuta Durrës or draw” at 81%.

KS Teuta Durrës 50%Draw 28%KS Skënderbeu Korçë 21%
1st half
39 · 41 · 19
2nd half
37 · 41 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Teuta Durres

  • awayVllaznia2:0
  • homeVora2:0
  • awayLaci3:1
  • homeTirana3:1
  • awayPartizani0:0

Skenderbeu Korce

  • awayVora1:1
  • homeTirana1:1
  • awayEgnatia1:2
  • homeDinamo Tirana0:1
  • awayVllaznia2:2

Head to head

  • 03/27/25Superliga1:0
  • 01/25/25Superliga1:2
  • 11/09/24Superliga1:1
  • 09/11/24Superliga3:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Teuta Durres541010:213
2Egnatia540111:512
3Dinamo Tirana540110:512
4Laci52127:87
5Elbasani51317:76
6Tirana51228:95
7Partizani51137:104
8Vora51133:104
9Skenderbeu Korce50325:73
10Vllaznia50235:102

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.