Getafe 1:0 Malaga, La Liga: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsGetafe4-4-2—Malaga4-4-2
Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.
Getafe4-4-2
Coach: Pepe Bordalás
Starting XI
13GK
David Soria21DF
Andrés García2DFD. Dakonam
24DFZ. Romero
22DFJ. Mojica
11MF
Ramón Terrats8MF
N. Gudelj16MF
Francho Serrano10MFM. Satriano
19FWE. Ünal
20FW
Iván Azón
Substitutes
26DFJ. Valou
4DFS. Sazonov
9FW
Borja Mayoral23MFO. Mangala
1GKJ. Letáček
31DFM. Hamdoune
35GK
Diego Ferrer3DF
Davinchi15DFS. Boselli
28MF
Alberto Risco
Malaga4-4-2
Coach: Funes
Starting XI
1GK
Alfonso Herrero31DFRafita25DF
Juan Berrocal15DFM. Diarra12DF
José Salinas10MF
David Larrubia14MF
Rafa Rodríguez22MF
Dani Lorenzo11MF
Joaquín Muñoz8FW
Carlos Dotor17FW
Eneko Jauregi
Substitutes
32FWJ. Fernandez3DF
Puga5DF
Álex Pastor21FW
Adrián Niño Heredia23MF
Izan Merino18MF
Pablo Martínez13GK
Carlos López4DF
Einar Galilea6MF
Ramón Enríquez19MF
Juan Cruz9FW
Chupe30GK
Andrés Céspedes
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedGetafe52%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.585%
- Both teams to score LandedNo82%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Getafe
- homeSevilla3:1
- awayAthletic Bilbao0:4
- homeLugano2:5
- homeRayo Vallecano1:1
- awayUniversitatea Craiova1:1
Malaga
- awayReal Betis1:2
- awayAlaves1:1
- homeReal Sociedad2:5
- homeEspanyol1:1
- awayGetafe0:1
Head to head
- 09/20/26La Liga1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Spain, La Liga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


