All matches

Getafe 1:0 Malaga, La Liga: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Spain, La LigaMatch finished

1.6WLLDD
1:0HT 0:0
1.5LDLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
52%36%12%
GetafePrice 2.1152%DrawPrice 3.2136%MalagaPrice 4.3612%
Line-upsGetafe4-4-2—Malaga4-4-2

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Getafe4-4-2Malaga4-4-2

Getafe4-4-2

Coach: Pepe Bordalás

Starting XI

  • 13GKSpainDavid Soria
  • 21DFSpainAndrés García
  • 2DFTogoD. Dakonam
  • 24DFArgentinaZ. Romero
  • 22DFColombiaJ. Mojica
  • 11MFSpainRamón Terrats
  • 8MFSerbiaN. Gudelj
  • 16MFSpainFrancho Serrano
  • 10MFUruguayM. Satriano
  • 19FWTürkiyeE. Ünal
  • 20FWSpainIván Azón

Substitutes

  • 26DFCôte d'IvoireJ. Valou
  • 4DFGeorgiaS. Sazonov
  • 9FWSpainBorja Mayoral
  • 23MFBelgiumO. Mangala
  • 1GKCzechiaJ. Letáček
  • 31DFMoroccoM. Hamdoune
  • 35GKSpainDiego Ferrer
  • 3DFSpainDavinchi
  • 15DFUruguayS. Boselli
  • 28MFSpainAlberto Risco

Malaga4-4-2

Coach: Funes

Starting XI

  • 1GKSpainAlfonso Herrero
  • 31DFRafita
  • 25DFSpainJuan Berrocal
  • 15DFM. Diarra
  • 12DFSpainJosé Salinas
  • 10MFSpainDavid Larrubia
  • 14MFSpainRafa Rodríguez
  • 22MFSpainDani Lorenzo
  • 11MFSpainJoaquín Muñoz
  • 8FWSpainCarlos Dotor
  • 17FWSpainEneko Jauregi

Substitutes

  • 32FWJ. Fernandez
  • 3DFSpainPuga
  • 5DFSpainÁlex Pastor
  • 21FWSpainAdrián Niño Heredia
  • 23MFSpainIzan Merino
  • 18MFSpainPablo Martínez
  • 13GKSpainCarlos López
  • 4DFSpainEinar Galilea
  • 6MFSpainRamón Enríquez
  • 19MFSpainJuan Cruz
  • 9FWSpainChupe
  • 30GKSpainAndrés Céspedes

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.16xG1.26
44Possession, %56
20Shots11
7Shots on target4
5Corners9
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
16Fouls16
0Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 75 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Getafe52%
  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.585%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No82%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Getafe52%47%1.922.11+5.1
XDraw36%31%2.783.21+5.4
2Malaga12%22%8.354.36-10.5

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Getafe

  • homeSevilla3:1
  • awayAthletic Bilbao0:4
  • homeLugano2:5
  • homeRayo Vallecano1:1
  • awayUniversitatea Craiova1:1

Malaga

  • awayReal Betis1:2
  • awayAlaves1:1
  • homeReal Sociedad2:5
  • homeEspanyol1:1
  • awayGetafe0:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26La Liga1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Alaves1133515:1712
11Rayo Vallecano1033415:2012
12Getafe113358:1612
13Deportivo La Coruna1025313:1311
14Espanyol1132613:1411
15Osasuna1032510:2011
16Racing Santander1132615:2911
17Elche1124514:1810
18Levante1124516:2110
19Valencia112368:179
20Malaga110568:215

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.