Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.07
No52%
ours 1.94
All matches
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Getafe — Sevilla, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Getafe
1.7WLDDL
Sevilla
1.6LWWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%27%27%
Getafe45%Draw27%Sevilla27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Getafe2.21—
XDraw3.66—
2Sevilla3.65—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGetafeSevillaCombined
Goals scored0.170.500.67
Conceded0.000.500.50
Corners14.07.310.7
Cards4.02.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
GetafeSevilla
Getafe Club de Fútbol 45%, Sevilla FC 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
Getafe Club de Fútbol 45%Draw 27%Sevilla FC 27%
1st half
35 · 44 · 21
2nd half
30 · 41 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Getafe
- homeMalaga1:0
- awayReal Betis0:1
- homeDeportivo La Coruna1:1
- homeCelta Vigo1:1
- awayOsasuna0:1
Sevilla
- homeBarcelona1:3
- awayDeportivo La Coruna1:0
- homeValencia1:0
- awayEspanyol1:1
- homeAtletico Madrid1:3
Head to head
- 02/22/26La Liga0:1
- 08/25/25La Liga2:1
- 02/01/25La Liga0:0
- 09/14/24La Liga0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Real Betis75119:716
Real Betis75119:7164
Real Madrid750218:815
Real Madrid750218:8155Sevilla741210:913
Sevilla741210:9136
Alaves732211:611
Alaves732211:6117
Deportivo La Coruna724110:810
Deportivo La Coruna724110:8108
Real Sociedad73139:1310
Real Sociedad73139:13109
Villarreal722313:128
Villarreal722313:12810
Athletic Bilbao62227:68
Athletic Bilbao62227:6811Getafe72234:78
Getafe72234:7812
Rayo Vallecano722311:168
Rayo Vallecano722311:16813
Osasuna72236:138
Osasuna72236:138Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.