All matches

Deportivo La Coruna — Osasuna, La Liga

Spain, La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna
2.5DLDWW
—
Osasuna
1.7DLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%25%22%
Deportivo La Coruna53%Draw25%Osasuna22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo La Coruna53%1.88—
XDraw25%3.99—
2Osasuna22%4.57—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.85

No46%

ours 2.18

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDeportivo La CorunaOsasunaCombined
Goals scored0.330.170.50
Conceded0.501.171.67
Corners11.37.79.5
Cards1.02.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Deportivo La CorunaOsasuna

Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña 53%, CA Osasuna 22%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña 53%Draw 25%CA Osasuna 22%
1st half
36 · 40 · 24
2nd half
37 · 38 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Deportivo La Coruna

  • homeReal Betis1:1
  • homeSevilla0:1
  • awayGetafe1:1
  • awayVillarreal3:2
  • homeValencia3:1

Osasuna

  • homeRayo Vallecano1:1
  • awayAtletico Madrid0:4
  • homeEspanyol0:2
  • awayAlaves2:5
  • homeGetafe1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Sevilla741210:913
6Alaves732211:611
7Deportivo La Coruna724110:810
8Real Sociedad73139:1310
9Villarreal722313:128
10Athletic Bilbao62227:68
11Getafe72234:78
12Rayo Vallecano722311:168
13Osasuna72236:138
14Celta Vigo71428:67
15Espanyol721410:107

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.