Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.59
No37%
ours 2.69
All matches
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Racing Santander — Real Madrid, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Racing Santander
2.6LLWLW
Real Madrid
4.0LWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
20%20%60%
Racing Santander20%Draw20%Real Madrid60%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Racing Santander5.02—
XDraw4.92—
2Real Madrid1.67—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRacing SantanderReal MadridCombined
Goals scored0.670.170.84
Conceded2.170.332.50
Corners11.34.07.7
Cards3.02.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Racing SantanderReal Madrid
Real Racing Club de Santander 20%, Real Madrid CF 60%. The safest is “No draw” at 80%.
Real Racing Club de Santander 20%Draw 20%Real Madrid CF 60%
1st half
27 · 32 · 41
2nd half
23 · 33 · 43
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Racing Santander
- awayCelta Vigo0:5
- awayBarcelona2:7
- homeAlaves2:1
- awayRayo Vallecano2:3
- homeElche3:2
Real Madrid
- awayAtletico Madrid1:2
- awayElche3:2
- homeRayo Vallecano4:1
- homeInter Milan2:1
- awayReal Betis0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Atletico Madrid751116:716
Atletico Madrid751116:7163
Real Betis75119:716
Real Betis75119:7164Real Madrid750218:815
Real Madrid750218:8155
Sevilla741210:913
Sevilla741210:9136
Alaves732211:611
Alaves732211:6117
Deportivo La Coruna724110:810
Deportivo La Coruna724110:8108
Real Sociedad73139:1310
Real Sociedad73139:13109
Villarreal722313:128
Villarreal722313:12810
Athletic Bilbao62227:68
Athletic Bilbao62227:6811
Getafe72234:78
Getafe72234:7812
Rayo Vallecano722311:168
Rayo Vallecano722311:16813
Osasuna72236:138
Osasuna72236:13814
Celta Vigo71428:67
Celta Vigo71428:6715
Espanyol721410:107
Espanyol721410:10716Racing Santander721411:217
Racing Santander721411:21717
Levante61238:125
Levante61238:12518
Elche712411:175
Elche712411:175Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.