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Qabala vs Neftchi Baku: result 0:3

Azerbaijan, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 0:3. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Neftchi Baku 63%, draw 21%, Qabala 16%.

1.3DWLLL
0:3HT 0:1
2.9WDDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
16%21%63%
QabalaPrice 6.3816%DrawPrice 3.8021%Neftchi BakuPrice 1.4563%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.17xG2.02
51Possession, %49
11Shots17
2Shots on target9
4Corners4
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
15Fouls18
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 83 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Neftchi Baku63%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.551%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No53%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Qabala16%12%6.256.38+3.7
XDraw21%22%4.813.80-1.3
2Neftchi Baku63%66%1.581.45-2.5

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Qabala

  • homeQarabag0:0
  • awayAraz2:1
  • homeSabah0:4
  • awaySumqayit1:4
  • homeNeftchi Baku0:3

Neftchi Baku

  • awayShamakhi3:2
  • homeTuran-T1:1
  • awayQarabag3:3
  • homeSabah0:0
  • awayQabala3:0

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Premier League0:3
  • 03/15/26Premier League1:3
  • 02/10/26Premier League0:1
  • 10/26/25Premier League0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Neftchi Baku1063125:1121
2Sabah962120:420
3Qarabag954014:719
4Turan-T1053211:818
5Kapaz952210:917
6Zira1044214:1416
7Shamakhi1034315:1413
8Mil Mugan103169:1510
9Sumqayit822412:138
10Qabala102265:168
11Araz100379:213
12Safa91085:173

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.