Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
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Pardubice — FASTAV Zlin, First League
Czech Republic, First League
Pardubice
1.3WWDLL
FASTAV Zlin
1.2DLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%25%23%
Pardubice53%Draw25%FASTAV Zlin23%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Pardubice1.90—
XDraw4.05—
2FASTAV Zlin4.39—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPardubiceFASTAV ZlinCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded1.171.672.84
Corners9.012.610.8
Cards2.82.45.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PardubiceFASTAV Zlin
FK Pardubice 53%, FC FASTAV Zlín 23%. The safest is “FK Pardubice or draw” at 75%.
FK Pardubice 53%Draw 25%FC FASTAV Zlín 23%
1st half
37 · 39 · 24
2nd half
39 · 36 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Pardubice
- homeBohemians 19052:1
- awayBanik Ostrava2:1
- awaySlovacko0:0
- homeLisen1:2
- awaySigma Olomouc1:3
FASTAV Zlin
- awayJablonec1:1
- homeHradec Kralove1:2
- homeTeplice1:3
- awayZbrojovka Brno2:3
- homeSlovan Liberec0:1
Head to head
- 04/25/26First League3:1
- 10/25/25First League2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Banik Ostrava93157:1710
Banik Ostrava93157:171012
Bohemians 190582339:119
Bohemians 190582339:11913Pardubice92259:148
Pardubice92259:14814
Lisen91267:185
Lisen91267:18515
Slovacko90457:164
Slovacko90457:16416FASTAV Zlin90188:191
FASTAV Zlin90188:191Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.