Pardubice 2:1 Bohemians 1905, First League: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsPardubice3-4-1-2—Bohemians 19053-4-1-2
Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.
Pardubice3-4-1-2
Coach: Jan Trousil
Starting XI
46GKVladimir Neuman
37DFDávid Krčík
33DFDenis Halinský
21DFMouhamed Tidjane Traoré
15MFEmmanuel Godwin
16MFTomáš Jelínek
19MFMichal Hlavatý
25MFRyan Mahuta
17FWVáclav Drchal
20FWAbdoull Tanko
99FWKahuan
Substitutes
1GKJáchym Šerák
43DFJason Noslin
12DFJan Trédl
6DFMarek Icha
40DFTobias Boledovic
77MFRobi Saarma
7MFDominique Simon
90MFGiannis-Fivos Botos
8MFSamuel Šimek
9FWDaniel Smékal
35FWVictor Samuel
Bohemians 19053-4-1-2
Coach: Jaroslav Vesely
Starting XI
23GKTomáš Frühwald
24DFMilan Havel
8DFDavid Heidenreich
27DFDavid Lischka
32MFPetr Mirvald
47MFAleš Čermák
42MFVojtěch Smrž
37MFDominik Javorček
16FWRoman Kvet
99FWLadislav Almási
10FWJan Matoušek
Substitutes
12GKMichal Reichl
25DFPeter Kareem
22DFJan Vondra
18DFDenis Vála
15DFMathews Banda
3DFMatej Kadlec
19MFJan Kovařík
62MFSamuel Obinaya
70MFŠimon Černý
9FWLadislav Krobot
11MFVáclav Pilař
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedBohemians 190536%
Actual: Pardubice — we had 32%
- Total goals MissedUnder 2.565%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 35%
- Both teams to score MissedNo56%
Actual: Yes — we had 44%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Pardubice
- homeSlovan Liberec1:2
- awayViktoria Plzen2:1
- homeFASTAV Zlin3:0
- awaySparta Prague0:2
- homeBohemians 19052:1
Bohemians 1905
- homeSparta Prague0:0
- awayZbrojovka Brno2:2
- homeMlada Boleslav1:0
- homeBanik Ostrava1:0
- awayPardubice1:2
Head to head
- 09/19/26First League2:1
- 02/08/26First League2:1
- 08/30/25First League1:1
- 04/05/25First League2:0
- 11/03/24First League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Czech Republic, First League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


