All matches

Pardubice 2:1 Bohemians 1905, First League: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Czech Republic, First LeagueMatch finished

1.6LWWLW
2:1HT 1:1
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
32%32%36%
PardubicePrice 1.9932%DrawPrice 3.5832%Bohemians 1905Price 3.3636%
Line-upsPardubice3-4-1-2—Bohemians 19053-4-1-2

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Pardubice3-4-1-2Bohemians 19053-4-1-2

Pardubice3-4-1-2

Coach: Jan Trousil

Starting XI

  • 46GKCzechiaVladimir Neuman
  • 37DFSlovakiaDávid Krčík
  • 33DFCzechiaDenis Halinský
  • 21DFCôte d'IvoireMouhamed Tidjane Traoré
  • 15MFNigeriaEmmanuel Godwin
  • 16MFCzechiaTomáš Jelínek
  • 19MFCzechiaMichal Hlavatý
  • 25MFSouth SudanRyan Mahuta
  • 17FWCzech RepublicVáclav Drchal
  • 20FWNigeriaAbdoull Tanko
  • 99FWBrazilKahuan

Substitutes

  • 1GKCzechiaJáchym Šerák
  • 43DFNetherlandsJason Noslin
  • 12DFCzechiaJan Trédl
  • 6DFCzechiaMarek Icha
  • 40DFCzechiaTobias Boledovic
  • 77MFEstoniaRobi Saarma
  • 7MFFranceDominique Simon
  • 90MFGreeceGiannis-Fivos Botos
  • 8MFCzechiaSamuel Šimek
  • 9FWCzechiaDaniel Smékal
  • 35FWSlovakiaVictor Samuel

Bohemians 19053-4-1-2

Coach: Jaroslav Vesely

Starting XI

  • 23GKSlovakiaTomáš Frühwald
  • 24DFCzechiaMilan Havel
  • 8DFCzechiaDavid Heidenreich
  • 27DFCzechiaDavid Lischka
  • 32MFCzechiaPetr Mirvald
  • 47MFCzechiaAleš Čermák
  • 42MFCzechiaVojtěch Smrž
  • 37MFSlovakiaDominik Javorček
  • 16FWCzechiaRoman Kvet
  • 99FWSlovakiaLadislav Almási
  • 10FWCzechiaJan Matoušek

Substitutes

  • 12GKCzechiaMichal Reichl
  • 25DFNigeriaPeter Kareem
  • 22DFCzechiaJan Vondra
  • 18DFCzechiaDenis Vála
  • 15DFZambiaMathews Banda
  • 3DFCzechiaMatej Kadlec
  • 19MFCzechiaJan Kovařík
  • 62MFUkraineSamuel Obinaya
  • 70MFCzechiaŠimon Černý
  • 9FWCzechiaLadislav Krobot
  • 11MFCzechiaVáclav Pilař

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.59xG1.28
47Possession, %53
14Shots10
6Shots on target3
4Corners4
3Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
15Fouls12
0Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 74 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Bohemians 190536%

    Actual: Pardubice — we had 32%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.565%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 35%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No56%

    Actual: Yes — we had 44%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Pardubice32%48%3.121.99-15.5
XDraw32%25%3.133.58+6.7
2Bohemians 190536%27%2.783.36+8.8

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Pardubice

  • homeSlovan Liberec1:2
  • awayViktoria Plzen2:1
  • homeFASTAV Zlin3:0
  • awaySparta Prague0:2
  • homeBohemians 19052:1

Bohemians 1905

  • homeSparta Prague0:0
  • awayZbrojovka Brno2:2
  • homeMlada Boleslav1:0
  • homeBanik Ostrava1:0
  • awayPardubice1:2

Head to head

  • 09/19/26First League2:1
  • 02/08/26First League2:1
  • 08/30/25First League1:1
  • 04/05/25First League2:0
  • 11/03/24First League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Zbrojovka Brno1362516:1920
9Viktoria Plzen1354428:2119
10Bohemians 19051245313:1317
11Hradec Kralove1343612:1815
12Pardubice1342715:1914
13Banik Ostrava123277:2211
14Artis Brno1224613:2210

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.