All matches

FASTAV Zlin vs Sparta Prague prediction

Czech Republic, First League

VARStats prediction for 29 November: Sparta Prague 71%, draw 18%, FASTAV Zlin 11%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

1.0DDLLD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
11%18%71%
FASTAV Zlin11%Draw18%Sparta Prague71%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1FASTAV Zlin11%9.49—
XDraw18%5.55—
2Sparta Prague71%1.40—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.74

No43%

ours 2.35

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FASTAV ZlinSparta Prague

FC FASTAV Zlín 11%, AC Sparta Praha 71%. The safest is “AC Sparta Praha or draw” at 89%.

FC FASTAV Zlín 11%Draw 18%AC Sparta Praha 71%
1st half
21 · 33 · 46
2nd half
14 · 29 · 57
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Match result: Away

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFASTAV ZlinSparta PragueCombined
Goals scored0.801.202.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

FASTAV Zlin
  • Winless in 13 matches2:2, 1:1, 0:3, 0:1, 1:1
  • Winless at home in 7 matches1:1, 0:1, 1:2, 1:3, 0:1
  • Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.8 per match16 teams in the league
Sparta Prague
  • Most shots on target in the league — 6.5 per match16 teams in the league
  • Played in Europe this week
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:0, 5:1, 0:1, 0:0, 1:1

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

FASTAV Zlin

  • awayArtis Brno2:2
  • homeSigma Olomouc1:1
  • awayPardubice0:3
  • homeSlavia Prague0:1
  • awayJablonec1:1

Sparta Prague

  • awayBohemians 19050:0
  • homeSlovacko5:1
  • awayOlympiakos0:1
  • awayBanik Ostrava0:0
  • homeLillestrom1:1

Head to head

  • 07/31/26First League1:3
  • 02/08/26First League0:3
  • 08/31/25First League1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Sigma Olomouc1373322:1524
3Mlada Boleslav1373322:1524
4Sparta Prague1372425:1323
5Slovan Liberec1272315:823
6Teplice1363421:1821
7Jablonec1362516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno1362516:1920
9Viktoria Plzen1354428:2119
10Bohemians 19051245313:1317
11Hradec Kralove1343612:1815
12Pardubice1342715:1914
13Banik Ostrava123277:2211
14Artis Brno1224613:2210
15Slovacko1314812:267
16FASTAV Zlin13031011:263

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.