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Zbrojovka Brno vs Viktoria Plzen prediction

Czech Republic, First League

VARStats prediction for 29 November: Viktoria Plzen 50%, Zbrojovka Brno 26%, draw 25%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
26%25%50%
Zbrojovka Brno26%Draw25%Viktoria Plzen50%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Zbrojovka Brno26%3.88—
XDraw25%4.07—
2Viktoria Plzen50%2.01—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes64%

ours 1.57

No36%

ours 2.77

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Zbrojovka BrnoViktoria Plzen

FC Zbrojovka Brno 26%, FC Viktoria Plzeň 50%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FC Zbrojovka Brno 26%Draw 25%FC Viktoria Plzeň 50%
1st half
30 · 39 · 31
2nd half
24 · 30 · 47
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZbrojovka BrnoViktoria PlzenCombined
Goals scored0.802.002.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Zbrojovka Brno
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
  • Fewest shots in the league — 11.1 per match16 teams in the league
  • 7 days’ rest vs 3 for the opponent
Viktoria Plzen
  • 10 goals in the last 5 matches4:0, 1:2, 1:2, 3:2, 1:2
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
  • Played in Europe this week

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Zbrojovka Brno

  • awaySigma Olomouc0:3
  • homeBohemians 19052:2
  • awaySlovacko2:1
  • homeJablonec0:1
  • awayMlada Boleslav0:2

Viktoria Plzen

  • awayBanik Ostrava4:0
  • homePardubice1:2
  • homeLevski Sofia1:2
  • awayJablonec3:2
  • awayFerencvaros1:2

Head to head

  • 08/01/26First League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Teplice1363421:1821
7Jablonec1362516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno1362516:1920
9Viktoria Plzen1354428:2119
10Bohemians 19051245313:1317
11Hradec Kralove1343612:1815

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.