All matches

UNA Strassen — Kaerjeng 97, National Division

Luxembourg, National Division

UNA Strassen
3.2WWWWW
—
Kaerjeng 97
1.9WWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
63%21%16%
UNA Strassen63%Draw21%Kaerjeng 9716%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1UNA Strassen63%1.59—
XDraw21%4.81—
2Kaerjeng 9716%6.10—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.88

No47%

ours 2.13

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUNA StrassenKaerjeng 97Combined
Goals scored1.171.672.84
Conceded0.171.001.17
Corners10.010.010.0
Cards0.0——
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

UNA StrassenKaerjeng 97

FC UNA Strassen 63%, Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97 16%. The safest is “FC UNA Strassen or draw” at 79%.

FC UNA Strassen 63%Draw 21%Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97 16%
1st half
40 · 38 · 22
2nd half
40 · 38 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

UNA Strassen

  • homeRumelange2:0
  • awayMondorf2:1
  • awayResidence Walferdange3:0
  • homeAtert Bissen2:1
  • awayProgres Niederkorn1:0

Kaerjeng 97

  • awayDudelange4:2
  • homeVictoria Rosport5:0
  • awayDifferdange1:4
  • homeSwift Hesperange6:0
  • awayEtzella Ettelbruck1:0

Head to head

  • 03/15/26National Division0:1
  • 10/01/25National Division4:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1UNA Strassen880017:224
2Differdange870118:621
3Mondorf860216:1118
4Racing Union852122:717
5Progres Niederkorn851213:516
6Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
7Atert Bissen850318:1115
8Residence Walferdange850316:1015

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.