Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.13
All matches
—
Wiltz 71 — UNA Strassen, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
Wiltz 71
1.2LLLLL
UNA Strassen
3.2WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
11%14%75%
Wiltz 7111%Draw14%UNA Strassen75%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Wiltz 719.33—
XDraw7.01—
2UNA Strassen1.33—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricWiltz 71UNA StrassenCombined
Goals scored1.001.832.83
Conceded3.170.333.50
Corners8.06.47.2
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Wiltz 71UNA Strassen
FC Wiltz 71 11%, FC UNA Strassen 75%. The safest is “FC UNA Strassen or draw” at 85%.
FC Wiltz 71 11%Draw 14%FC UNA Strassen 75%
1st half
21 · 34 · 45
2nd half
19 · 32 · 49
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 9.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Wiltz 71
- awayAtert Bissen2:4
- homeProgres Niederkorn1:2
- awayJeunesse Esch1:5
- homeDudelange1:2
- awayVictoria Rosport0:4
UNA Strassen
- homeRumelange2:0
- awayMondorf2:1
- awayResidence Walferdange3:0
- homeAtert Bissen2:1
- awayProgres Niederkorn1:0
Head to head
- 02/16/25National Division0:3
- 08/18/24National Division0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1UNA Strassen880017:224
UNA Strassen880017:2242
Differdange870118:621
Differdange870118:6213
Mondorf860216:1118
Mondorf860216:11184
Racing Union852122:717
Racing Union852122:7175
Progres Niederkorn851213:516
Progres Niederkorn851213:5166
Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
Atert Bissen850318:1115
Atert Bissen850318:11158
Residence Walferdange850316:1015
Residence Walferdange850316:10159
Hostert832314:1111
Hostert832314:111110
Jeunesse Esch821514:177
Jeunesse Esch821514:17711
Dudelange82158:157
Dudelange82158:15712
Rumelange82068:236
Rumelange82068:23613
Victoria Rosport812511:205
Victoria Rosport812511:20514
Etzella Ettelbruck81256:155
Etzella Ettelbruck81256:15515Wiltz 71811614:224
Wiltz 71811614:22416
Swift Hesperange80082:300
Swift Hesperange80082:300Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.