All matches

UNA Strassen — Racing Union, National Division

Luxembourg, National Division

UNA Strassen
3.2WWWWW
—
Racing Union
2.4DWWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
58%22%20%
UNA Strassen58%Draw22%Racing Union20%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1UNA Strassen58%1.72—
XDraw22%4.57—
2Racing Union20%5.04—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.83

No45%

ours 2.20

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUNA StrassenRacing UnionCombined
Goals scored1.671.833.50
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners6.59.68.1
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

UNA StrassenRacing Union

FC UNA Strassen 58%, Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg 20%. The safest is “FC UNA Strassen or draw” at 79%.

FC UNA Strassen 58%Draw 22%Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg 20%
1st half
41 · 37 · 22
2nd half
40 · 37 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

UNA Strassen

  • homeRumelange2:0
  • awayMondorf2:1
  • awayResidence Walferdange3:0
  • homeAtert Bissen2:1
  • awayProgres Niederkorn1:0

Racing Union

  • awayProgres Niederkorn0:0
  • homeJeunesse Esch5:1
  • awayDudelange3:1
  • homeVictoria Rosport2:2
  • awayDifferdange1:2

Head to head

  • 04/12/26National Division1:0
  • 10/18/25National Division2:1
  • 02/22/25National Division1:0
  • 08/25/24National Division0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1UNA Strassen880017:224
2Differdange870118:621
3Mondorf860216:1118
4Racing Union852122:717
5Progres Niederkorn851213:516
6Kaerjeng 97850323:1515

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.