Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.56
No36%
ours 2.79
All matches
Sion — Young Boys, Super League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%25%37%
Sion38%Draw25%Young Boys37%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sion2.61—
XDraw4.01—
2Young Boys2.73—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SionYoung Boys
FC Sion 38%, BSC Young Boys 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FC Sion 38%Draw 25%BSC Young Boys 37%
1st half
34 · 35 · 31
2nd half
33 · 32 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
70%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSionYoung BoysCombined
Goals scored2.002.404.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Sion- Fewest yellow cards in the league — 1.6 per match12 teams in the league
- 10 goals in the last 5 matches1:0, 0:3, 1:1, 5:2, 3:0
- 2.2 goals per game at home9 matches
Young Boys- Unbeaten in 14 matches2:0, 2:0, 3:2, 2:2, 3:3
- Unbeaten away in 6 matches2:0, 2:2, 4:2, 2:2, 6:0
- Best attack in the league — 35 goals in 11 matches2nd place, 25 points
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Sion
- homeLausanne1:0
- awayServette0:3
- homeZurich1:1
- awayGrasshopper5:2
- awaySt. Gallen3:0
Young Boys
- homeSt. Gallen2:0
- awayGrasshopper2:0
- homeServette3:2
- awayLugano2:2
- homeLuzern3:3
Head to head
- 07/26/26Super League2:4
- 05/17/26Super League3:3
- 02/22/26Super League3:1
- 12/07/25Super League2:0
- 08/10/25Super League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Switzerland, Super League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.