All matches

Luzern — Sion, Super League

Switzerland, Super League

Luzern
1.9WLDWD
—
Sion
2.5DWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
36%24%40%
Luzern36%Draw24%Sion40%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Luzern36%2.77—
XDraw24%4.13—
2Sion40%2.52—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.60

No37%

ours 2.68

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLuzernSionCombined
Goals scored2.002.004.00
Conceded1.500.832.33
Corners9.810.810.3
Cards3.31.54.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

LuzernSion

FC Luzern 36%, FC Sion 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

FC Luzern 36%Draw 24%FC Sion 40%
1st half
37 · 36 · 27
2nd half
30 · 35 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Luzern

  • homeGrasshopper5:1
  • homeBasel2:4
  • awayYoung Boys3:3
  • homeVaduz2:1
  • awayServette1:1

Sion

  • homeZurich1:1
  • awayGrasshopper5:2
  • awaySt. Gallen3:0
  • homeThun3:2
  • awayBasel2:1

Head to head

  • 08/02/26Super League0:3
  • 02/07/26Super League0:0
  • 01/24/26Super League1:1
  • 10/04/25Super League3:3
  • 02/23/25Super League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lugano981027:725
2Young Boys954031:1819
3Sion961223:1419
4Basel941417:1713
5St. Gallen941416:1913
6Luzern933317:1812
7Zurich932414:2011
8Servette931511:1310

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.