All matches

Young Boys — Zurich, Super League

Switzerland, Super League

Young Boys
2.4WDDWD
—
Zurich
1.2DWDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
63%21%16%
Young Boys63%Draw21%Zurich16%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Young Boys63%1.58—
XDraw21%4.74—
2Zurich16%6.33—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.58

No37%

ours 2.73

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricYoung BoysZurichCombined
Goals scored2.001.173.17
Conceded1.501.332.83
Corners10.09.39.6
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Young BoysZurich

BSC Young Boys 63%, FC Zürich 16%. The safest is “BSC Young Boys or draw” at 80%.

BSC Young Boys 63%Draw 21%FC Zürich 16%
1st half
47 · 34 · 20
2nd half
42 · 33 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Young Boys

  • homeServette3:2
  • awayLugano2:2
  • homeLuzern3:3
  • awayZurich4:2
  • homeBasel3:3

Zurich

  • awaySion1:1
  • homeVaduz2:1
  • awayGrasshopper2:2
  • homeYoung Boys2:4
  • awayLausanne3:2

Head to head

  • 09/01/26Super League4:2
  • 03/01/26Super League3:0
  • 02/01/26Super League3:0
  • 10/26/25Super League3:2
  • 04/21/25Super League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lugano981027:725
2Young Boys954031:1819
3Sion961223:1419
4Basel941417:1713
5St. Gallen941416:1913
6Luzern933317:1812
7Zurich932414:2011
8Servette931511:1310
9Thun931515:2310

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.